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четверг, 28 марта 2024 г.

John Mullins and Randy Komisar. Getting to Plan B

 


The book Getting to Plan B: Breaking through to a better business model, written by John Mullins and Randy Komisar, contains several important lessons, primarily for start-up entrepreneurs, on developing successful business models. Though very repetitive around a few key ideas, the book is well worth reading especially for those who want to better understand how the business model is reflected in the different financial statements. with interesting examples from: Amazon, Apple, Celtel, Costco, Dow Jones & Company, eBay, GlobalGiving, GO airlines, Google, Oberoi Hotels, Pantaloon, Patagonia, Ryanair, Shanda, Silverglide, Skype, Southwest Airlines, Toyota, Walmart, Zara and ZoomSystems.

The book in three bullet points:

The business model concept is in the book defined as the pattern of economic activity comprising of five key elements that together determines the viability of any business. The five key elements being the revenue model, the gross margin model, the operating model, the working capital model and the investment model. Companies are successful when the five elements work together.

Getting to Plan B is about the process of discovering a business model that works, with the assumption that the initial plan is most often wrong. The discovering process can be made systematic by constantly formulating different hypothesis and measurements and continuously follow up and iterate the business model into a new Plan B.

The starting point for a new business model is to learn from successful examples worth mimicking in some way and examples to which you explicitly choose to do things differently, where the ultimate judge is the customers and the cash flow generated from your business model.

A brief summary of the different chapters:

1. Don't reinvent the wheel, make it better - the concepts of analogs (successful predecessors), antilogs (predecessors that you want to differ from), and Leaps of Faith (beliefs about answers with no evidence) is covered with the key take out to learn, mix and match to create your own business model, to experiment to test different hypothesis to prove or refute them.

2. Guiding your flight progress - the concept of dashboarding (a systematic way to guide experiments and track results) is presented with examples showing that measuring of specific parameters or results increases the focus of the company's activities, and that the dashboards, including parameters and goals, need to evolve over time based on the learnings they uncover.

3. Air, food and water - the chapter, focusing on revenue models, hits home two important points: the importance of resolving customer pain or providing customer delight, and the need for actual evidence of how customers are likely to respond. To develop a revenue model questions that need to be asked are: Who will buy? What will they buy? Why will they buy? How soon, how often, and how many will they buy? With what effort and cost on your part? At what price will they buy, and on what basis will they pay?

4. Avoiding rocks and hard places - the topic for the chapter is gross margin models; the spread between the price at which products and services are sold and the cost of selling those (COGS). The key messages with the chapter are that digital technology enables gross margin models in which COGS approaches zero, that a superior gross margin model creates leverage that can be applied differently depending on strategy, and finally the fact that pricing decisions should be value-based and not cost-based.

5. Trimming the fat - is a short chapter on operating costs; all the day-to-day costs that must be incurred in addition to COGS. Key ideas are that by doing things differently in relation to other actors in the industry, operating cost can be lowered or eliminated, and by starting the analysis at the most costly or scarcest resources in the industry areas for business model innovation might occur. Another key point is that adding costs might also enhance the customers' experiences and willingness to pay premium prices, so cost cutting is not always the answer to profitability.

6. Cash is king - is according to me one of the more important chapters in the book as the balance sheet, working capital and cash management is often forgotten in business model discussions. Different industries and business models requires different amount of working capital (the cash a company needs to keep the business running) and all elements in the business model have implications for the cash generated and the cash consumed. From page 139: "Failure to earn a profit won't put you out of business, as long as you still have cash. But if you run out of cash, even if you are profitable, you'll be gone in a heartbeat"

7. It takes money to make money - focus on the investment needed to get the business started and through the period until it can generate enough cash itself, and the general goal (there are exceptions) is to find a way to get to breakeven with as little investment as possible. The authors mention some of the many trade-offs involved with external funding from different sources, but primarily focus on venture capital. The conclusions are: Less investment means giving away less of the business, less credibility lost when leaving a business model for another, and fewer sleepless nights if you've mortgaged your house.

8. Can you balance a one-legged stool? - tries to summarize, at least on a conceptual level, the different elements of the authors' definition of a business model, and their implications on one another. The conclusion is that the revenue model, gross margin model and operating model directly affect the working capital model, and these four models directly affect the investment model.

9. Getting started on discovering your Plan B - ends the book where it started with a focus on the talented and visionary entrepreneur. In the beginning of the book there were statements such as "Intuitively, as is almost always the case for committed, passionate, entrepreneurs, they felt that the answers to all five questions were yes" (p29) and in the end "dreaming your entrepreneurial dream" (p214)...

A quick comparison with some other popular books on business models:

Business Model Generation: A Handbook for Visionaries, Game Changers, and Challengersby Osterwalder and Pigneur, atempts to introduce a standard language and format for analyzing and innovating business models based on the business model canvas. Getting to Plan B define the business model concept in financial terms and is not overlapping with this book. See my review here

Seizing the White Space: Business Model Innovation for Growth and Renewalby Mark W. Johnson, explores the circumstances when a new business model might be needed from an incumbent perspective, with several classic examples. See my review here

Open Business Models: How to Thrive in the New Innovation Landscape by Henry Chesbrough has a heavier focus on technological innovation in the context of business models and also covers the important area of Intellectual Property in relation to open business models.

The Ultimate Competitive Advantage: Secrets of Continually Developing a More Profitable Business Model by Mitchel, Coles, Golisano and Knutson, has a heavier focus on marketing with some ideas and questions relating to one-sided business models, so if you are looking to "sell more" perhaps you like this book. See my review here

The Profit Zone: How Strategic Business Design Will Lead You to Tomorrow's Profits by Slywotzky, Morrison and Andelman, has a heavier focus on profitability and the changing areas in which high profit is possible to keep, it is a quick read. See my review here

All in all, the book is somewhat repetitive and rather long for the ideas it delivers, but with many interesting examples and important chapters on gross margins, operating costs and cash flow, it is well worth reading and a good complement to other books on business models not going into the financial details.

https://bitly.ws/3gXYg

воскресенье, 28 мая 2023 г.

Visualizing value propositions and revenue models

 On the website Boardofinnovation 10 generic building blocks are presented to "build any business model". Each building block is presented graphically and the idea is to visualize different business models to enable mapping and comparison of different businesses and "a new way of designing and innovating business models." I find visualizing business models very powerful, see for example the business model canvas, and the way of drawing blocks and arrows is of course a commonly used method to describe business models.



The visualized building blocks are:
Company - the company whose business model is described
Product - from commodities to finished goods
Services - services around a product or stand alone
Experience - not only offering a product or service but an experience
Reputation - a brand experience shaping client identity
Client- receives the product and gives something in return
Money - the normal value of a good
Less Money - less money than the normal value of a good
Attention - a currency of paying attention to advertising
Exposure - a currency of spreading the word

Building blocks to describe value propositions and revenue models
The term business model can be understood in a broad or narrow sense and can be expressed, visualized and explained in many different ways. Common elements in a business model, not described by the 10 building blocks presented above are what internal and external assets and capabilities that are used, what activities that are performed, how the value propositions are delivered, what forms of relationships the company has with its clients and external partners, control mechanisms used and the business model cost structure.

According to me what the 10 building blocks describe is not the business model but the different involved actors, value propositions and different types of revenues and benefits. It gives a first understanding of what a business model is about but it doesn't explain how value is created or delivered and only using the 10 building blocks will make fundamentally different business models look similar if they share some similar principles.

The main contributions with the 10 building blocks are according to me the blocks "experience" and "reputation" broadening the concept of value propositions from products and services, and "exposure" and "attention" broadening the concept of revenue model.

Broadening the concept of value propositions
A value proposition is often defined as "what the customer gets for what the customer pays" or "a bundle of products and services that are of value to the customer". I argue in my post about value propositions that a value proposition is how value is bundled and offered to potential value recipients where the term "value" is not limited to products and services and the term "value recipient" is not limited to customers.

Providing something new, something unique, something more convenient or accessible, customized, with higher performance or to a lower price are all common value propositions towards traditional customers. But value can also be to enable risk- or cost reduction for a supplier, provide access to databases or research tools for early-stage university research, provide user data to "upstream" application developers, out-license manufacturing or quality assurance processes to other companies, cross-license technology & IP, bring passengers to remote airports, provide jobs and environmental responsibility for a region, pay tax to a government, or take active involvement in a community.

The building blocks "experience" and "reputation" adds, according to me, important dimensions to the common perception of the value proposition. "Belonging" is another interesting dimension when the value proposition includes being part of a community, that shares common interests or values. I find conceptualization of products and services and the use of brands highly interesting and I plan to write separate posts exploring the subject in relation to business models.

Broadening the concept of revenue model
As with the term value proposition, the common perception of the term revenue model when used in relation to business models, is according to me rather narrow. I often talk about the "revenue and benefit model" and the main thing I want to understand is "What do I get in return for providing value to each value recipient?" The term revenue model implies revenues, money, but as the website Boardofinnovation shows in its building blocks, benefits can also be other things such as attention or exposure.

I would argue that what a business can get in return for providing value to a value recipient can be much more than attention and exposure, with examples such as cross-licensing of technology and IP to get access to new assets and capabilities, user data to improve services or improve the value for advertisers, adoption of a technology platform or service to create momentum and obtain network externalities, co-development efforts to lower cost and reduce risks etc.

https://cutt.ly/mwqFLYHw

воскресенье, 1 января 2023 г.

Business Model Canvas For Beginners. 5. Revenue Streams – Business Model Revenues Definition And Examples

 The Revenue Streams part of the business model focuses on how the overall business will generate sales.

In simple terms, there are two main types of revenue streams. The first is based on transaction-based revenue and the second generating recurring revenue.

In this section, you will learn about the different types of revenue streams, pricing mechanisms and methods used by leading businesses to generate money.

What Is A Revenue Stream?


A revenue stream is a distinct source of income that can come from either be recurring revenue, transaction-based or service revenue.

A revenue stream is a critical part of the business model that influences strategy, business planning and investment. A revenue stream represents the economic value customers are willing to pay for the products and services offered. However, a revenue stream is not a business model, but it does influence how a business model works.

In short, revenue streams are the total sales of all products and services. However, in accounting terms, it is often called net sales.

You can see from the image below that Amazon reports its total revenue as net sales.


What Is The Difference Between A Revenue Model, Revenue Stream And A Business Model

A revenue stream is easily confused with a revenue model which, in turn, is often confused with a business model.

Definition Of A Revenue Stream

A revenue stream is a distinct source of income that can come from either be recurring revenue, transaction-based or service revenue. A business can have a single source of revenue or multiple sources depending on its business model(s).

Definition Of A Revenue Model

A revenue model is a framework for generating revenues. Essentially it is the strategy and plan for how a business generates income from either a single or multiple revenue streams. As a strategy, it involves consideration of what value to offer, how to price the value, and who pays for the value.

Definition Of A Business Model

business model is a framework for optimizing long-term value by systematically analysing how to deliver value to customers profitably.

The business model takes all aspects of your business into account, including your revenue model and all your revenue streams, and examines how well the different parts of the business work together.

Business Model Revenue Streams



The Revenue Streams section of the Business Model Canvas.

There are lots of different ways to generate revenue from products and services. Many markets have been disrupted by changes to revenue models.

As an example, by going digital the music industry was transformed and new revenue models appeared in the form of subscriptions (recurring revenue) rather than buying a song or album (transactions).

What Are The Different Types Of Revenue Streams?


Illustration of the different types of revenue streams

The two main types of revenue streams are:

  1. Transaction-based revenues – revenue is earned from customers making a one-time payment of your product or service.
  2. Recurring revenues – continuous payments for the delivery of products or services.

Why Understanding Revenue Streams Matters?

1. Revenue Is A Key Performance Indicator (KPI) For All Businesses

A Key Performance Indicator (KPI) is a measure that aligns to the overall business strategy. Generally, you find that financial KPI’s link to revenue and profits but can also involve further measures such as cash flow and liquidity.

Whether you’re a startup or large corporation revenue is a key measure for all stakeholders.

2. Performance Prediction Differs Between Different Revenue Streams

What everyone wants to see or be able to predict is how much sales will be generated in the future. An investor will want to understand this because they have a vested interest in the future of the company. Shareholders will want to know or understand what a business is forecasting to understand its overall health.

Recurring revenue is the most predictable income because the cash inflow remains consistent with a stable customer base.  In contrast, transaction-based and service revenues tend to fluctuate with customer demand and often is also affected by seasonality.

#3 Different Forecasting Models Are Needed For Different Revenue Models

Depending on the type of revenue models a company employs, a financial analyst develops different forecasting models and carries out different procedures to obtain necessary information when performing financial forecasting.  For companies with a recurring revenue stream, a forecast model should have a uniform structure and a similar pattern in revenue predictions.

Why Testing For Revenue Streams Is Important

Digital technologies have enabled new ways to test products and services in a market to understand if customers are actually willing to buy – in other words if they understand see the value in the new product or service.

Many growth hackers and successful entrepreneurs have had their fair share of failure as well as success. Often, entrepreneurs have had to change either their product, service, customer segment or value proposition to succeed.

The reason is often that they couldn’t get customers to take even the simplest of actions like signing up for an email, let alone paying for the new product.

Is generating the most important part of a business? Of course, it is but there have been some notable delays where a business doesn’t generate users and instead captures part of the market.

Often digital business models, platforms, require populating a platform prior to revenue generation. Facebook for years didn’t generate revenue, but then introduced ads.

Another example is when the revenue is not obvious. To some, it might seem that Google is free, and it is indeed for people that search, but Google then sells the search data and the ability to advertise as a method of generating revenue.

Often revenue models can seem complex as a result of digital business models, digital ecosystems and other digital technologies.

Developing the Business Model involves testing it at different stages to validate the problem(s), customer segment, value proposition and if customers are willing to buy.

What Are Examples Of Revenue Streams?


Examples of different revenue streams that can be used in the Business Model Canvas

Advertising

Advertising involves being paid to communicate to an audience about a product or service.

Agents And Brokers

Agents and brokers act as intermediaries and take a percentage fee for their services.

Asset Sale

An asset sales is usually a one-off transaction involving an asset owned by either a person or a company.

Business Services

Business services can have a variety of revenue types depending on the type of service. As an example, a website built for a business can involve a transaction initially but then may move to a subscription for maintenance.

Club Goods

Cinemas and theme parks are examples of Club goods and involve a fee for entrance.

Consulting

Consulting companies such as McKinsey, PWC, Deloitte and Bain work on both a project and retainer basis. The retainer can be thought of as a subscription for a set number of hours and level of service. Projects are normally defined in terms of a start date and end date with a set outcome.

Content Subscriptions

Digital technologies disrupted and transformed the media industry. Newspapers used to rely on a regular set of customers buying a physical copy of their entire output. Now they are often online and customers pay a subscription to access the full content. Several bloggers have also moved to this type of arrangement.

Consumer Services

Consumer services range from restaurants to hairdressers and other forms of services aimed at consumers.

Education

Education consists of both services and products that educate either companies or individuals. Training can be either online, eLearning, face to face learning (e.g. as a workshop or in a classroom) or a blend of the two (blended learning).

Experiences

The experience economy has grown massively over the last 10 years. This includes real-world experiences such as travel, war games, parachuting, paragliding and many more.

Licensing

Intellectual Property can be licensed to create a recurring revenue stream.

Media

Sales of media is a common revenue stream for businesses such as production companies that make movies, documentaries, TV shows.

Metered Services

Many services are now being metered such as electricity, gas and water. A business will then gain revenue by charging for use or consumption.

Products

Products have been around for aeons and represent one of the oldest and more traditional revenue streams. They are mostly transactional involving a buyer and seller.

Product Subscriptions

A WordPress plugin is a good example of a product (digital) that is purchased downloaded and installed. Most premium WordPress plugins then work on an annual subscription model. Other products offer different timeframes for the payment terms.

Products As A Service

Some products such as wearable devices often also come linked with services. These product-service systems are present in consumer goods and B2B product-service systems e.g. aircraft engines.

Service Subscriptions

Web hosting services are an example of how some companies create revenue streams. Different pricing points take into account a range of customer segments and how the different requirements for each e.g. web developer vs. agency vs. a small business.

Revenue Formula

How do you calculate revenue streams?

Calculating revenue can be simple or complicated depending on the business.

As an example, if many companies periodically offer promotional codes, often with a different value. A product that has an original price of $100 could be discounted down by 10% – $90, 20% – $80 and so on. As a result, the total revenue will be a mix of all the sales at each price point.

Product A Revenue

Units soldPriceDiscountSale PriceTotal Revenue
20$100None$100$2,000
20$10010%$90$1,800
20$10020%$80$1,600
Net Revenue (Sales)$5,400
Average Price Sold$90

For product sales, it is calculated by taking the average price at which goods are sold and multiplying it by the total number of products sold. For service companies, it is calculated as the value of all service contracts, or by the number of customers multiplied by the average price of services.

What is the formula for revenue? An example of how you can calculate sales revenue.

Revenue = No. of Units Sold x Average Price

or

Revenue = No. of Customers x Average Price of Services

Revenue Forecast

Below is an example of a company’s forecast based on many drivers, including:

  • Website traffic.
  • Conversion rates.
  • Product prices.
  • Volume of different products.
  • Discounts.
  • Return and refunds.
https://cutt.ly/g2pWBfA