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воскресенье, 22 ноября 2020 г.

How COVID-19 Has Impacted Business: A 6-Month Retrospective

 

Written by Kipp Bodnar


It's been over six months since COVID-19 was declared a global pandemic. As we reported in March, the initial impact was painful on businesses. But now, six months in, businesses appear to be adapting to the new normal. Digital transformation is accelerating. Inbound marketing strategies are working incredibly well, while outbound sales strategies are struggling. Buyers are more in control than they've ever been, and companies delivering a great digital customer experience are winning.


COVID-19 forced many businesses to start operating online, and since then we've seen a huge spike in online buyer interest that has steadily increased over the past two months. This digital transformation was already occurring before the pandemic, but COVID-19 accelerated its timeline pressuring businesses and buyers to pivot to an online environment. Now that brands are experiencing the benefits of on-demand tools like live chat, these features will be standardized as consumers come to expect them more over time.

We've also seen a simultaneous decline in the effectiveness of outbound strategies. Take sales emails as an example — sends have nearly doubled since March, but open rates continue to remain well below pre-COVID levels. It's not that buyer interest isn't there; it's that consumers now have the liberty to choose when and where they want to interact with businesses. This places greater emphasis on inbound tactics as brands need to prioritize new channels like chat where consumers can interact with marketing, sales, and service at their own pace.

As more businesses learned how to successfully make this pivot, and the global economy slowly started to reopen, sales outcomes started to gradually improve. In June, we saw a significant change in deal performance as both deals won and deals created increased from just below pre-COVID levels to well above the benchmark by the end of July. Currently, global deal performance is hovering at and above pre-COVID levels as more businesses are getting used to working under these new circumstances. While it's certainly still a difficult time for businesses, the sales data suggests that we are slowly starting to move forward.

In this post, we'll take an in-depth look into buyer interest, marketing and sales outreach, and sales outcomes over the past six months. We'll examine how different industries, regions, and company sizes have been impacted by COVID-19, and offer suggestions for investments that make sense right now.

HubSpot can't make predictions about what will happen, and nobody knows what the future looks like. But we hope this report from our customer base provides a helpful reference as businesses enter the next quarter, and that the insights are useful to you in some way. To explore the accompanying dataset on your own, you can find our interactive microsite here.

  1. Buyer Interest

  2. Buyer Outreach

  3. Sales Outcomes

  4. Takeaways


This data is based on benchmarks calculated using weekly averages from Q2 vs. post-holiday weekly averages from Q1. Because the data is aggregated from our customer base, please keep in mind that individual businesses, including HubSpot's, may differ based on their own markets, customer base, industry, geography, stage, and/or other factors. While certain data is reported by industry, please note that we do not track all industries, and that HubSpot's industry classifications may not correspond with standard industry classifications.

COVID-19 6-Month Marketing, Sales, & Service Retrospective

1. Buyers Are in Control.

Customer-Initiated Chat Conversations

Buyer research has shifted to a more on-demand, in-the-moment experience than ever before, and live chat usage strongly supports that. Chat volume has steadily increased over the past six months, and have been trending over 90% above the benchmark since September. Since businesses have moved online, consumers have flocked to chat as a resource for real-time help. Now, consumers expect a live chat option when interacting with brands and businesses are slowly starting to implement them on their websites.

Additionally, now that a significant number of people are working from home and communicating on their preferred time and channel, research is happening on the buyer's schedule -- and they want real-time answers, even if the sales team is asleep. Marketing teams have pivoted to chat to engage prospects. Sales teams are using it to nurture leads, and customer service personnel are using it to support customers. Live chat is proving to be one of the most effective channels for communicating with customers because it allows people to interact with a company on demand. The arc of technology bends toward convenience, so even if demand for chat doesn't stay at this level forever, we feel confident that the pandemic has made chat a table-stakes channel going forward.

Regionally, APAC engaged in the most chat conversations compared to LATAM, EMEA, and NORTHAM. Just three weeks ago, APAC reached 144% above pre-COVID levels and it's been the highest above the benchmark since July. While every region has experienced significant increases for live chat volume, APAC's chat conversations have increased 132% since March, EMEA 86%, LATAM increased 81%, and NORTHAM 81%.

We're not surprised that APAC has been leading the way when it comes to live chat conversations as we've seen this region using more chat and SMS technology for quite some time. Apps like WeChat have gained popularity in the region for years, not only because they make it easier for customers to chat with sales and service people, but also because they give brands the opportunity to launch engaging campaigns. For example, in 2019, India alone had 340 million WhatsApp users, which was a significantly higher proportion of the population more than any other country in the world. Countries in APAC have also been early adopters of SMS and chat  Japanese retailers were using WeChat to advertise and offer customer discounts as a way to incentivize Chinese tourists as far back as 2016.

Web Traffic

Two weeks ago, total web traffic was at a year-high 34% above the benchmark and we've seen this metric increase over 25% since March. Global web traffic seems to be holding steady at this rate as we push past summer and into fall. In fact, this metric has been over 20% above the benchmark for the past 10 weeks. As buyers continue to do their shopping online, businesses with the most established online presence seem to be seeing the most benefit.

If we look at the industry breakdown, computer software leads the way with the most web traffic at 51% above the benchmark. This reflects the digital transformation that was already occurring before COVID-19 but was sped up due to the effects of the pandemic. Compared to where we were in March, nearly all industries have returned to about pre-COVID levels. For example, entertainment, a structurally impacted industry, was 18% below the benchmark in July but has been above or right below the benchmark for the past seven weeks.

2. Inbound Strategies Continue to Prove Effective for Buyer Outreach.

Marketing Emails

With buyer interest so strong, marketers have reinvested in email. Marketing email volume has increased a total of 49% since the start of the pandemic and is currently a year-high 52% above pre-COVID levels. This is a continuation of the steady increase in traffic we've seen over the last few months. At the start of the pandemic, marketing email volume had increased nearly 30% by the end of March. Over the summer, send volume was steady at about 30% above pre-COVID levels and has risen again in the fall.

Response rates are also performing well, remaining at 10-20% above the benchmark since April. In the spring, we saw open rates shoot up immediately following the start of the pandemic, then they leveled out throughout the summer and fall. It's encouraging to see response rates holding up since email marketing has been declared "dead" many times over the last few years as channels like chat have been on the rise. But, in marketing, it's not what channel you're using, it's how you're using it. Highly relevant, helpful content will reach buyers in almost any medium, and we're glad to see marketing teams sustaining high-levels of engagement via email.

Sales Emails

On the sales side, email activity has also increased, but response rates have been on the opposite trajectory. Global send volume has increased 79% since March, but response rates have consistently stayed nearly 30% below the benchmark since April. Send volume continues to grow through the fall as it's increased 25% over the past five weeks.


It's not that this approach isn't working, it's just not great for customer experience. Consumers are getting overloaded with emails as sales teams try to engage their new online audience. Since the pandemic has placed even more control into the buyer's hands, they're really only engaging with sales teams on their terms.

Email is still a valuable channel for salespeople, but blindly emailing prospects isn't going to increase responses. You need to make sure you're being deliberate in your prospecting mix because buyers have a lot more options these days to signal interest (visiting a site, converting on an offer, signing up for a demo, etc.). The key is to understand the intent behind these channels instead of just doubling down where it's easy to spray-and-pray — like with email.

Sales Calls

Even though sales email engagement has been stagnant, a really positive takeaway for sales teams is that call events are now trending 21% above the benchmark and have increased 18% since March. This is a significant turnaround for call prospecting as it dropped to around 25% below the benchmark from March to June, but picked up again later in the summer — about the same time that deal performance began to return to pre-COVID levels.

If we look at call prospecting by company size, smaller companies seemed to have called their prospects sooner than larger ones. Companies with 1-25 employees saw their call prospecting return to pre-COVID levels at the start of July, while 26-200 and over 201 companies are just starting to return to those levels now. Since smaller companies have fewer customers and not as many "set and forget" channels, their sales reps typically have stronger relationships with their customer base. When the pandemic pushed buyers and businesses into a time of uncertainty, these trustworthy relationships are what both sides could lean on to get through hardships. It makes sense that as deal performance began to stabilize in July, smaller companies were the first to return to the phones because they rely so heavily on these close-knit relationships as well as traditional prospecting channels like phones.

Currently, call events are 31% above the benchmark for companies with 0-25 employees and are up 26% since March. We can compare that to other company sizes like 26-200 employees, which is 18% above the benchmark and has increased 17% since March. Over 201 companies are only 2% above the benchmark right now, but this number has increased nearly 30% over the past four months. We'll look for 201 companies to increase their call prospecting as sales outcomes continue to gradually improve.

3. Sales Outcomes Are Gradually Improving.

Deals Won

Over the last few months, we have seen businesses adapt to new circumstances very rapidly. There was a lot of fluctuation in sales outcomes due to changing buyer circumstances, economic uncertainty, etc., all driven by the spread of COVID biologically. At the 6-month mark, businesses are simply more used to operating under these circumstances, and while it's certainly a difficult time, the data suggests that companies of all sizes are starting to move forward.

In April, we hit the lowest point for total deals won at 36% below the benchmark. Following that, we saw steady recovery from late-April to mid-June where deals-won returned to the same levels they were at before the start of the pandemic. Deal performance continued to improve through July and August, and at the end of September, deals won reached 10% above the benchmark. That's more than a 45% increase since the first week of April.

The pandemic has changed the definition of what a "good fit" customer is. Cashflow issues rendered some customers unable to purchase products that they could afford in the past. Changing circumstances affected the urgency customers had around purchases in both directions, accelerating some deals while stalling out others. Businesses have had to reassess their target personas because buyers' circumstances had changed so dramatically. To be successful, brands need to update their definition of a "good fit" customer as well as their sales motions.

Deals Created

In April, we not only saw the lowest number of deals won recorded, but the lowest number of deals created as well. During the week of April 6, deals created fell to 30% below the benchmark and remained below pre-COVID levels until mid-June. Over the summer, deal creation continuously improved and now it's at 35% above the benchmark. That's 65% more deals being created now than they were at the start of April. As businesses pivoted their strategies and learned to operate in a digital world, many found success and are starting to benefit from their new prospecting channels.

Regionally, it appears LATAM was hit the hardest for deal creation in the first three months of the pandemic. It reached its lowest point in April at 43% below the benchmark, but fortunately, bounced back over the summer and is now 16% above the benchmark. EMEA also had a recent return to pre-COVID benchmarks as it was trailing behind all the other regions up until July and August. It was 18% below the benchmark while all other regions sat at least 10% above it. In September, EMEA deal flow surpassed the benchmark for the first time since March and is now 20% above pre-COVID levels.

Construction, Manufacturing, and Computer Software have all been trending above the benchmark since the start of September. Construction is the top-performing industry and has been trending roughly 20% above pre-COVID levels since May. This is expected though, as these industries haven't been as structurally impacted as others. Industries like Travel, Entertainment, and Human Resources are still working their way back towards pre-COVID levels. While they're not exactly at the benchmark, deal creation for these industries has been significantly better than it was at the start of the pandemic.

Takeaways

Online Conversion Isn't New and It's Not Going Anywhere.

Businesses didn't suddenly discover ecommerce and live chat when COVID-19 forced them to adapt their operations. Brands and consumers were already moving online before the pandemic, but COVID accelerated their timeline and pressured them to embrace a digital transformation at a rapid pace. What were once novelty features and services — like live chat — are now vital to day-to-day operations. Without these tools, businesses can't engage or prospect customers like they could before the pandemic.

Now that many companies have pivoted online and are discovering the benefits that come with it, there's no returning to the way things were before. Companies will continue to invest in digital channels as these are proving to be highly-effective options for engagement, prospecting, and support. And, consumers are getting more familiar with these channels as well. As they continue to interact with brands through a digital landscape, they'll come to expect this environment as the standard for businesses moving forward.

Resources to Help:

Free Software to Get Started:

Inbound and Buyer Interest Aren't Optional.

With businesses operating in a digital world, buyer interest has turned into an on-demand experience. More consumers are working from home and spending more time online, which means they're interacting with brands when and where they please. Buyers now have a variety of channels to choose from when they want to contact your brand and they also have the luxury of switching between these channels as they see fit. So, if you want to successfully engage your digital audience, your brand needs to be available on all of the platforms your customers are using. That will also help you maintain a noticeable digital presence as more companies follow suit and go online.

You'll also need to focus more on your inbound methodology since consumers now have more power to interact with brands at their preferred pace. If you prioritize quantity over quality when it comes to messaging — like what we've seen with sales emails — you won't get far with engaging your audience and you may end up damaging the customer experience in the process. Instead, try focusing on sending high-quality content to your "good-fit" prospects. You may have to reassess what "good-fit" means since COVID has significantly impacted buyer profiles, but this should get you on track in terms of engaging buyers that are an ideal match for your sales team.

Resources to Help:

Free Software to Get Started:

Businesses Have to Adapt.

Compared to where we were in March, global sales outcomes look a lot better. But, for many businesses — especially those in structurally-impacted industries — we're nowhere near where we were prior to the pandemic. Businesses have had to adapt their approach to operate under very different circumstances and some have done this successfully while others are still working to come up with an effective plan. The good news is it seems like most businesses understand they need to adapt their strategies in some way if they want to continue to operate in a post-COVID world.

Resources to Help:

Free Software to Get Started:


https://blog.hubspot.com/

суббота, 30 ноября 2019 г.

How to write business plan



Designing a Business Plan for Your Creative Business

Amanda Genther
https://bit.ly/2r0IyD8


Most creatives probably tremble at the thought of creating a business plan, and most likely keep pushing it to the back burner until eventually they need one and throw something together that isn’t complete. I’m going to show you an easier way to go about creating your business plan, with basic steps that shouldn’t be too daunting, if you take them one at a time.

So, what is a business plan?

A business plan is meant to guide your business in the right direction and document your thoughts and ideas for your business. It’s a structural tool that can keep you, your employees and your business on the correct path. The first purpose of a business plan is to identify the aspirations of the business. Second, it’s needed to determine if these aspirations are feasible in the current economy. Third, your business plan is needed to outline the steps you will take to reach your main objective. When I create my business plans, I like to lay it all out there first, and then start to remove pieces that are irrelevant. Think of your business plan as writing a book; you’ve determined the ending, but now you need to fill in how you will reach that desired ending. You will want to be able to hand this business plan over to investors, peers, banks, attorneys, etc, so it’s important to keep a defined look. But, since we are creatives, don’t be afraid to play with the layout and colors, just don’t get too crazy! Keep it readable, clean and professional.

The basic elements of a business plan

1. Executive Summary – this is a one-page nutshell of your business. It includes the background behind your business, your mission, your vision and your tagline/message (if you have one). Keep it short and to the point. The rest of the business plan will go into much more detail.
2. Target Customers/Ideal Clients – this is where you will explain who your business is targeting, who your ideal clients are; their personalities, what they like to do, how old they are, their income level, how much they are willing to spend on your products and/or services. A survey is definitely a good idea to help gather information on your ideal client.
3. Competition/Competitive Advantage – this is where you will detail who your competitors are, what their strengths and weaknesses are, their business structure, and your competitive advantage, or what makes your idea better/different than theirs.
4. Human Resources – if needed, this is where you will document what staff you will need to run your business, what their skills need to be, how much experience, how much you can afford to pay them, etc. I did not need this section on my business plan, because I do not plan on having any staff in the near future. When the time comes, I will definitely add this section to my business plan. It would be wise to add an intern description here, if you plan on having an intern soon. This would layout the groundwork for what they would be responsible for.
5. Vendors/Supplies – this is where you will determine what outside sources will be needed to run your business. Are there any products that you must purchase on a weekly basis (jewelry supplies, paper) or do you use certain products for your clients (USB drives, cards, shipping, boxes/packaging materials)? Put all of these items here, their costs, what category they fall under (supplies, client gifts, packing/shipping, etc). You will need these for you financial plan later, but this section will detail each of the costs.
6. Marketing Plan – this is where you will show how to get your products and/or services in front of your ideal clients. What social media profiles are they on, are they bloggers, do they read certain blog, do they attend conferences? All of these things will help you figure out where, when and how to find your perfect customer. Your marketing plan is actually an entirely different document outside of your business plan, but laying out the general ideas here is great.
7. Operations – this is where you document how to get the job done in the most efficient way. What are your routines for your projects? What order do you follow from the first time you talk to the client/customer to when the client/customer has the final product delivered to them? Describe your operations as if you were teaching 5,000 people how to work at your company. Document everything.
8. Financial Projections – this is where you determine how much money you need to open/run your business and where you will get this money from. Most creative businesses are able to start their companies on smaller budgets, because they tend to not need real estate, and already own the large equipment needed to get the business going. Put your financial forecast on here; how many products do you want to sell, how much do each of your products cost, what is the yearly total? How much did you spend on supplies? What is your profit for the year? You want to be able to show an investor why and how your business is going to make money, so be realistic.

A visual representation


Now what?

I recommend taking the business plan one item at a time. Schedule a time every Sunday where you tackle a part of the business plan. Or, if you are feeling really ambitious one night, tackle a couple of them. Either way, don’t stress yourself out. If you aren’t in a business planning mood that day, then don’t do it. Plan time when you can concentrate and your brain is able to think long-term.

Some tips:

– Write the business plan in your own voice. No need to be stuffy, you are a creative and the person you are presenting this business to will already know that. Creatives are great at creating their own unique voices and styles, so make sure you show that here.
– Keep your business plan versatile. It is very likely that it will change as your business grows, so be sure to document these changes.
– Stick to it! You should know your business plan inside and out, almost like a very long elevator pitch. When you make decisions for your business, you should take your business plan into account.

воскресенье, 10 ноября 2019 г.

Measuring the Level of Competition for Valuable Minerals


Everybody loves a little competition.
It levels the playing field and ensures prices and products are kept affordable and available. But how do you measure and track the competitiveness of specific sectors?
The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is a commonly accepted measurement of market concentration, and in today’s case, we use it to show which mineral sectors have healthy competition between countries, as well as the sectors that are more monopolistic.

WHAT IS THE HERFINDAHL-HIRSCHMAN INDEX?

The HHI is calculated by squaring the market share of each competitor and then summing up the resulting numbers. It can range from zero to 10,000.
The closer a market is to a monopoly, the higher the market’s concentration, and the lower its competition. If there were only one company in an industry, that company would have a 100% share of the market, and the HHI would equal 10,000, demonstrating a monopoly.
Conversely, if there were thousands of firms competing, the HHI would be near zero, indicating almost perfect competition.
  • HHI below 1,500: a competitive marketplace
  • HHI between 1,500 – 2,500: a moderately concentrated marketplace
  • HHI of 2,500 or greater: a highly concentrated marketplace
Interestingly, the same technique is also used by the U.S. Department of Justice to look at market competition and potential anti-trust violators, as well.

GLOBAL METAL PRODUCTION

Today’s chart uses data from the World Mining Congress to look at the competition for global minerals between countries. The HHI scores show the minerals most and least exposed to competition, while uncovering opportunities for countries looking to bolster their own mineral production.
Here are 33 minerals ranked, going from highest score (most monopolistic) to lowest (least monopolistic):




The data here makes it clear that mineral production is not uniformly distributed throughout the world, giving some countries huge advantages while revealing potential supply problems down the road.

RENEWABLES IN THE SPOTLIGHT

While commodities like gold and oil have robust levels of competition around the world, the renewable energy industry relies on more obscure raw materials to make solar, wind, and EVs work.
Rare earth elements (REE) rank #2 on the list with a HHI score of 7,219, while battery minerals such as graphite (#6), vanadium (#8), cobalt (#10), and lithium (#16) also appear high on the list as well.
According to a recent study, the production of rare earth elements is an area of particular concern. Used in everything from electric motors to wind turbines, rare earth demand will need to increase by twelve times by 2050 to reach emissions targets set by the Paris Agreement.
The only problem is that China currently controls 84% of global production, which increases the odds of bottlenecks and scarcity as demand rises. This ultimately creates an interesting scenario, where a sustainable future will be at the mercy of a few a producing nations.