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пятница, 29 декабря 2017 г.

Five 'Big Idea' Biotech Trends To Watch In 2017


Different types of stories cross my radar as a biotech journalist every day.
There are partnerships between established drugmakers that need new products and the little aspiring companies that need cash to develop their thing. Stories about clinical trial results that move markets. Regulatory actions that make or break companies and investors.
But for me, there’s something especially fun about talking with scientific entrepreneurs who raised their first big wad of investment cash. They’re latching onto some kernel of insight from a discovery. Or maybe they have a vision for stitching together a set of technologies. Either way, they are venturing into a great unknown to see if they can make a big step ahead in medicine. They often have insights that put them years ahead of the lumbering drug giants.
The odds are stacked against the creators. But even in failure, startups can sometimes offer clues on where medicine is heading. Sometimes outside groups will see what's wrong and fix it. And yes, sometimes the startups will succeed, going public or getting acquired.

Here were a few trends I observed from covering startups that will remain relevant in the year ahead.
New Ideas For The Treatment Of Alzheimer’s
Alzheimer’s disease is a demographic iceberg. As the baby boomers get older, the national healthcare bills for dealing with it are astronomical—with one analysis estimating Alzheimer’s will gobble up one-fourth of Medicare spending in 2040. The pharmaceutical industry has had no effective response yet. Billions of dollars have been invested in targeted antibody drugs that are supposed to help clear out the buildup of amyloid-beta protein plaques that are thought to gum up memory and cognition as we age. But we’re beginning to see some signs of support for alternative scientific approaches. Cambridge, Mass.-based Yumanity Therapeutics raised $45 million to create a new drug discovery engine for Alzheimer’s and other neurodegenerative diseases. South San Francisco-based Annexon Biosciences, a Stanford University spinout, raised $44 million to build on research that suggests you can fight Alzheimer’s by stopping the immune system from from removing synapses we need for neuronal functioning. And earlier this month, a bootstrap startup I wrote about in Timmerman Report, EIP Pharma, showed that an old anti-inflammatory drug improved cognition and memory in a small set of patients with mild Alzheimer’s. Given the urgent need, the enormous market, and the string of failures with anti-amyloid antibodies like Eli Lilly’s solanezumab, I suspect we’ll see pharma spread its eggs around into multiple baskets.
Scientists At The Movies
Much of drug discovery is based on static images of a molecular target. Chemists want to make compounds that can bind with the specific target. But many of these targets are fluid in real life, and their shape-shifting dynamics make them especially hard targets. What if instead of looking at a still photograph, you could watch a series of images, a “movie” to see how the protein targets folds in different configurations? Could you gather deeper insight into the particular toeholds that a drug could bind with? Two companies in the Boston area, Relay Therapeutics and Morphic Therapeutic, each raised more than $50 million in their Series A venture financings to see if they can better capture the fluidity of protein targets and use that knowledge to discover drugs. This is a big idea that big organizations are watching closely–Morphic is backed by Pfizer, GSK and AbbVie, while Relay Therapeutics was started by Third Rock Ventures and D.E. Shaw Research.
Solving the Problem, Not Just Pushing Drugs
One reason so many people hate the drug companies is not only because of the high prices. It’s because while they get rich off selling their products, many people aren’t getting their health problems solved. Smoking is one good example. A doctor can prescribe a smoking-cessation product like Pfizer’s varenicline tartrate (Chantix) or GlaxoSmithKline's bupropion hydrochloride (Zyban). Clinical trials will tell you that only goes so far for most smokers. While the big companies bring single-minded focus to pushing their products, researchers and health insurers know that an integrated combination of drug therapy and behavioral therapy is more effective at helping people kick the habit. One San Francisco Bay Area startup, Chrono Therapeutics, told me about a clever way of stitching together drugs, digital sensors and human coaching into an integrated approach. If they can put the puzzle pieces together, Chrono should do a better job of helping a person quit than just writing them a prescription, sending them home and hoping for the best.
Drugs For Us (and Our Bugs)
The science of the microbiome has taken biology by storm the past few years. This is thanks in large part to DNA sequencing tools that are yielding an increasingly vivid understanding of how we as humans coexist with the trillions of bacteria in our guts, and on our skin. When we get along well with the bugs, we’re usually what people would consider healthy. But when something goes off-kilter with a certain kind of bug or bugs, our immune systems can go haywire, attacking healthy tissue, causing autoimmune disease. Some research suggests gut bacterial composition affects our mood, opening up interesting new ideas for treatment of depression and other forms of central nervous system disorders and mental illnesses. Exactly how biotech and pharma companies can wrestle this science to the ground and figure out how make elegant drugs based on it, is very much an open question. Cambridge, Mass.-based Seres Therapeutics, a first-mover in the field, crashed this year with a microbiome-based treatment for C. difficileinfections. But money continued to flow toward a variety of microbiome-based drug discovery efforts that are quite different. A few examples I wrote about in FORBES are Vendanta BiosciencesSynlogic, and Second Genome. Timmerman Report subscribers may also see this recent story on Axial Biotherapeutics, a Caltech spinout that seeks to exploit “the gut-brain axis” for the treatment of autism and Parkinson’s.
Shifting Power Dynamics At The Nexus Of Academia And Industry
We as taxpayers invest in basic biomedical research, largely through the National Institutes of Health. When a discovery gets made, universities sometimes get a patent, and businesses sometimes license these inventions for further development. Traditionally, these raw discoveries need an enormous amount of investment and labor before they can be made into a practical product, like a pill in a bottle. Knowing this, businesses have often obtained intellectual property from universities as if it’s roughly on the 10-yard-line and needs a successfully sustained 90-yard drive from industry to reach the end zone with a marketable product. Businesses have usually paid peanuts to obtain these licenses. But as universities have gotten more skilled at some of the basic blocking and tackling that industry does well (things like basic manufacturing of biologic drugs, viral delivery vectors for gene therapy and more), the universities have been able to drive their assets further downfield. No surprise, that has allowed academics to drive a harder bargain with industry.

Harvard notably extracted a $20 million upfront payment from Merck in March for the right to develop a set of small molecule drugs for acute myeloid leukemia that fit this bill. Juno Therapeutics and Spark Therapeutics, prominent cancer immunotherapy and gene therapy players, respectively, had to pay through the nose to get ahold of foundational intellectual property for their companies (subscribers may read my previous coverage at Timmerman Report). The potential for conflicts of interest, and abuse of taxpayer resources, is always here in such deals. It’s also common to see oversimplified critiques of any and all academic-industry deals in the mass media. But I’d argue that universities have gotten more savvy at the tricky balance of technology transfer since the Bayh-Dole Act of 1980 encouraged them to quit letting inventions sit on the shelf. Academia will continue to strike more financially advantageous deals for themselves in the year ahead, and it will cause continued teeth-gnashing in industry and in the press.
Luke Timmerman is the founder of Timmerman Reportand the author of "Hood: Trailblazer of the Genomics Age."

среда, 25 января 2017 г.

World’s Top 15 Biotech Companies 2016



THE GLOBAL BIOTECHNOLOGY MARKET WAS ESTIMATED TO BE USD 330.3 BILLION IN 2015. THE MARKET IS GROWING AND THE TOP-15 BIOTECHNOLOGY PLAYERS ACCOUNT FOR A MARKET SHARE OF ~33% IN 2015. THESE ORGANIZATIONS ARE PRIMARILY LOCATED IN U.S. AND EUROPE. A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE TOP 15 BIOTECHNOLOGY PLAYERS WAS DEVISED TO DEVELOP A RANKING FOR THESE ORGANIZATIONS. THE MODEL INCORPORATED EIGHT CRITERIA INCLUDING REVENUE, REVENUE GROWTH, OPERATING EXPENSE RATIO, INCOME PER SHARE, R&D BY SALES RATIO, INCOME PER EMPLOYEE, MARKET CAP AND ASSET TURNOVER RATIO. STATISTICAL SCORING WAS CONDUCTED BASED ON THESE CRITERIA TO ARRIVE AT THE FINAL SCORE BASED ON WHICH RANKS WERE DEVELOPED.

Analysis of top-15 biotechnology companies:
tableSources: SEC filings, annual reports, Genetic Engineering & Biotechnology News and Forbes Media.
  1. GILEAD SCIENCES INC. (U.S.)

Gilead is the top-ranked company in this list. The organization had highest revenues of USD 32,639 million in 2015. Income per share and income per employee is one of the highest for the company. Gilead also tops the market cap list in 2015. The operating expense ratio of the company is one of the lowest in 2015. The company manufactures research-based biopharmaceuticals with focus on human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), liver diseases such as chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, oncology and inflammation, and serious cardiovascular and respiratory conditions.
  1. CELGENE CORP. (U.S.)

Celgene ranks second in the list owing to its large revenue and high market cap. Another significant reason is the allocation of the high R&D budget in 2015. The company is engaged in the discovery, development and commercialization of therapies and treatment of cancer and inflammatory diseases through gene and protein regulation.
  1. BIOGEN INC. (U.S.)

Biogen is the one of the largest company in terms of revenue and income per share in 2015. The company had asset turnover ratio of 55.20% in 2015. Biogen develops, markets and manufactures therapies for neurological, autoimmune and hematologic disorders.
  1. AMGEN INC. (U.S.)

Amgen accounts for the second-largest revenue share of USD 21,662 million in 2015. The company’s income per share value was USD 9.15 in 2015. Amgen had one of the highest asset per share value in 2015. The primarily focus of the company is human therapeutics based on cellular and molecular biology.
  1. REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (U.S.)

The revenue growth from 2014 to 2015 was 45.5% for Regeneron in 2015. The company also had one of the highest asset turnovers in 2015. The company is active in biopharmaceutical products marketing for eye diseases, colorectal cancer and a rare inflammatory conditions.
  1. SHIRE, PLC (U.S.)

Shire had revenue of USD 6,416.70 million in 2015. The company had one of the lowest revenue growth of 6.5% from 2014 to 2015. The operating expense ratio was among the highest for the company calculated at 77.8%. The company focuses on therapies for rare diseases.
  1. CSL LTD. (AUSTRALIA)

Australia-based company, CSL Ltd. accounts for one of the lowest operating expenses ratio at 27.98%. The asset turnover ratio of the company is the highest in 2015 and stands at 81.72%. The company develops, manufactures and markets vaccines, in vitro diagnostic products and plasma protein biotherapies.
  1. NOVOZYME (DENMARK)

Novozyme is a Denmark based company and accounted for 95.1% of research and development to sales ratio in 2015. The company had one of the lowest income per employee in 2015. The company develops and produces industrial enzymes, microorganisms, and biopharmaceutical ingredients.
  1. VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC. (U.S.)

Vertex’s revenue for 2015 was one of the lowest but the company tops the list in revenue growth from 2014 to 2015 at 77.86%. The company had highest operating expense ratio at 145% resulting in low revenues. Furthermore, the company accounted for the highest R&D expenditure to sales ratio in 2015, measured at 96%. Vertex develops clinical development programs focused on cystic fibrosis, and has more than dozen ongoing research programs aimed life-threatening diseases.
  1. ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS INC. (U.S.)

The revenue for Alexion was USD 2,604.05 million in 2015. The company has lowest asset turnover ratio and one of the lowest income per share in 2015. The company had developed therapies for treatment of paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria and atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome and aims to develop enzyme replacement therapies for rare disorders.
  1. ILLUMINA, INC. (U.S.)

Illumina’s revenues in 2015 were valued at USD 2,219.76 million. The company had one of the lowest expense ratio amongst others in 2015. Illumina develops, manufactures and markets systems for the analysis of genetic variation and function. It also provides sequencing and array-based solutions for genetic analysis, genotyping and whole-genome sequencing services.
  1. GRIFOLS INTERNATIONAL, S.A. (SPAIN)

The revenue for the Spanish company was USD 4,167.88 million in 2015. Grifols had the lowest operating expense ratio in 2015, calculated at 24.6%. The company ranks 12th in the list owing to lowest R&D by sales ratio and income per employee in 2015. The company produces a variety of plasma derivatives.
  1. UNITED THERAPEUTICS CORP. (U.S.)

United Therapeutics revenue was USD 1,465.76 million in 2015. The company had the lowest market cap in 2015. The company tops the list in income per employee category valued at USD 9.16 million. The company in engaged in development and commercialization of cardiovascular and infectious diseases and cancer treatment products.
  1. BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC. (U.S.)

BioMarine accounts for the lowest revenues and income (loss) per share value at USD 889.90 million and USD -1.07 in 2015. The company has one of the highest operating expense and lowest asset turnover ratios on 2015. BioMarine commercializes and produce therapies for mucopolysaccharidosis type I (MPS I) and phenylketonuria.
  1. AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES (U.S.)

Agilent Technologies ranks lowest in the list owing to decline in revenue growth rate from 2014 to 2015. The company also had one of the lowest research and development budgets in 2015. Agilent is active in life sciences and diagnostics research in the field of cancer, cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, Alzheimer’s, Parkinson’s, and autism amongst others.

понедельник, 23 января 2017 г.

Where the money is, 2016 edition: The top 100 VCs investing in biotech, by the numbers

Using the lat­est set of num­bers on the top 100 VCs op­er­at­ing in the US, you can sketch out all of the big trends at play in the multi­bil­lion-dol­lar game of biotech in­vest­ing and star­tups.

David Mott, NEA

The top four VCs — Flag­ship, Third Rock, New En­ter­prise As­so­ci­ates and Arch Ven­ture — all en­tered 2016 flush with cash and ready to start ramp­ing up new com­pa­nies while fos­ter­ing the up­starts al­ready in their port­fo­lios, ac­cord­ing to fig­ures Thom­son Reuters pro­vided to End­points News. NEA may have slipped down the list a bit, but the life sci­ences group under David Mott con­tin­ues to be one of the most pro­lific in the in­dus­try, not shy in the least to take a lead role in big new rounds.
In many cases, these four VCs have been kick­start­ing com­pa­nies into ex­is­tence using a blank-slate ap­proach in track­ing down and spark­ing the shift from acad­e­mia into the clinic. And groups like Atlas and 5AM have been close be­hind.
If you ranked these firms by the num­ber of deals, Po­laris would come in at the top (same as last year) though they are clearly look­ing at mak­ing smaller bets across a wider slate of can­di­dates.


Third Rock Ven­tures

Most of these top play­ers are keenly in­ter­ested in the ear­li­est stages of in­vest­ing in biotech, but the un­der­tow on the money is also in­evitably broad­en­ing to in­clude later stages of work, which is why Flag­ship re­cently added a new $285 mil­lion fund to ex­tend its reach fur­ther down the clinic.
With IPOs suf­fer­ing last year, it’s also no sur­prise to see a crossover in­vestor like RA Cap­i­tal drop from 5th in 2015 to 56th in 2016. But Or­biMed and Deer­field re­main in the top tier of the busiest play­ers.
The num­ber of new deals has slipped, which is also no sur­prise. 2015 re­mains a record year in ven­ture in­vest­ing that will be hard to beat in the com­ing years, as VCs wait out the lull in the pub­lic mar­ket. But the over­all flow of cash re­mains near enough to his­toric highs to keep the land­scape look­ing bright.
To fully un­der­stand these num­bers, you have to start by clar­i­fy­ing that the to­tals in the amount in­vested col­umn aren’t gospel. Thom­son Reuters gath­ers up all the num­bers it can find — in the news, SEC fil­ings and so on — and then divvies the amount of each round by the num­ber of play­ers on record. If one VC was in­volved in a round, they have a solid fig­ure. If 4 or 5 play­ers are in­volved, they di­vide by the total and use that as the av­er­age. It’s not per­fect, but it does cap­ture the level of ac­tiv­ity each VC is play­ing with.


Po­laris Part­ners

Based on the num­ber of new funds that con­tinue to at­tract record amounts of money for play­ers like Ver­sant, it’s fair to say that 2017 looks solid as we begin the year. Just about every­one ex­pects a re­peat of 2016 on the IPO front, though with Don­ald Trump en­ter­ing the White House as the wild card in Amer­i­can pol­i­tics — stroking cor­po­ra­tions with one hand while slap­ping pharma with the other — who re­ally knows what’s going to hap­pen?
Some­one asked me re­cently where they had the best shot at rais­ing cash for his biotech ven­ture. My sug­ges­tion: Look over the num­bers and deals in your own sec­tor and see who has a track record in your field. And this is a good place to get started on that ex­er­cise.


Table
Top 100 VC firms in­vest­ing in U.S. biotech com­pa­nies
Based on all known 2016 deals

Firm
# Deals
# of Com­pa­nies
Avg Eq­uity/Deal ($M)
Avg Eq­uity/Com­pany ($M)
Total Eq­uity In­vested
1
12
9
21.82
29.09
261.83
2
14
11
12.18
15.51
170.57
3
22
21
6.64
6.96
146.11
4
17
15
7.72
8.75
131.18
5
10
8
11.88
14.85
118.78
6
14
14
8.25
8.25
115.51
7
15
14
6.99
7.48
104.79
8
13
13
7.11
7.11
92.42
9
1
1
92.00
92.00
92.00
10
21
15
4.31
6.03
90.47
11
5
5
16.79
16.79
83.95
12
8
7
10.33
11.80
82.63
13
4
4
19.98
19.98
79.93
14
20
17
4.00
4.70
79.90
15
23
21
3.30
3.61
75.82
16
14
12
4.83
5.63
67.56
17
3
3
22.14
22.14
66.42
18
5
4
12.40
15.50
62.01
19
1
1
61.45
61.45
61.45
20
1
1
55.00
55.00
55.00
21
7
7
7.60
7.60
53.19
22
10
10
5.17
5.17
51.68
23
13
11
3.86
4.57
50.23
24
7
7
7.17
7.17
50.17
25
6
6
8.30
8.30
49.81
26
4
4
12.23
12.23
48.91
27
1
1
48.00
48.00
48.00
28
9
8
5.21
5.86
46.90
29
7
6
6.54
7.63
45.80
30
2
2
21.95
21.95
43.91
31
12
12
3.53
3.53
42.33
32
4
4
10.38
10.38
41.51
33
7
7
5.66
5.66
39.61
34
2
2
19.75
19.75
39.50
35
9
8
4.21
4.74
37.93
36
8
7
4.72
5.40
37.77
37
3
3
12.18
12.18
36.53
38
8
8
4.34
4.34
34.72
39
6
5
5.55
6.66
33.31
40
2
2
16.50
16.50
33.00
41
7
7
4.67
4.67
32.72
42
1
1
32.33
32.33
32.33
43
4
4
7.93
7.93
31.71
44
8
8
3.90
3.90
31.21
45
10
9
3.01
3.34
30.05
46
4
4
7.44
7.44
29.75
47
10
9
2.97
3.30
29.66
48
9
9
3.25
3.25
29.28
49
5
5
5.54
5.54
27.70
50
5
4
5.54
6.93
27.70
51
2
2
13.46
13.46
26.92
52
2
2
13.40
13.40
26.80
53
2
2
13.04
13.04
26.07
54
3
3
8.17
8.17
24.51
55
4
4
6.11
6.11
24.45
56
6
6
3.86
3.86
23.19
57
4
4
5.70
5.70
22.79
58
6
5
3.78
4.54
22.69
59
10
9
2.20
2.44
21.98
60
3
3
7.27
7.27
21.80
61
5
5
4.35
4.35
21.73
62
4
3
5.17
6.89
20.68
63
2
2
10.31
10.31
20.63
64
2
2
10.06
10.06
20.13
65
3
3
6.71
6.71
20.12
66
7
5
2.85
3.99
19.96
67
6
6
3.27
3.27
19.63
68
4
4
4.82
4.82
19.28
69
6
6
3.13
3.13
18.76
70
2
2
9.31
9.31
18.61
71
6
6
3.08
3.08
18.47
72
3
3
6.15
6.15
18.46
73
2
2
9.21
9.21
18.42
74
1
1
18.31
18.31
18.31
75
5
5
3.53
3.53
17.64
76
3
3
5.66
5.66
16.98
77
3
3
5.66
5.66
16.98
78
4
3
4.04
5.39
16.16
79
2
1
8.04
16.09
16.09
80
2
2
7.95
7.95
15.90
81
2
2
7.94
7.94
15.88
82
2
2
7.86
7.86
15.72
83
2
2
7.84
7.84
15.68
84
2
2
7.63
7.63
15.25
85
3
3
4.95
4.95
14.85
86
2
2
7.23
7.23
14.46
87
1
1
14.35
14.35
14.35
88
3
3
4.72
4.72
14.16
89
2
2
7.06
7.06
14.11
90
2
2
6.92
6.92
13.83
91
1
1
13.75
13.75
13.75
92
1
1
13.75
13.75
13.75
93
4
4
3.42
3.42
13.68
94
2
2
6.79
6.79
13.57
95
3
3
4.52
4.52
13.55
96
2
2
6.65
6.65
13.30
97
3
3
4.43
4.43
13.29
98
2
2
6.62
6.62
13.24
99
1
1
13.05
13.05
13.05
100
4
3
3.23
4.31
12.93