среда, 28 января 2015 г.

Strategic Due Diligence: A Foundation for M&A Success

Understanding the rationale for a merger can help leaders uncover the potential value of a deal.

The art and science of merger execution have made great strides since the late 1990s — a period when stock-market frenzy often led to a rush to judgment, and ultimately to buyer’s remorse. Since then, a more prudent, systematic approach to mergers and acquisitions has emerged, and many companies with an articulated M&A strategy have gone so far as to institutionalize an M&A capability within their walls.
These corporate M&A groups have proven especially good at managing financial and legal due diligence — and at focusing on these critical items early in the integration process. This is all well and good; yet even the best financial and legal due diligence practices do not uncover the whole story for any given prospect, and they certainly do not guarantee success. There is a critical third component to due diligence. We call it “strategic due diligence,” and it is vital to anticipating the problems that can derail a merger. Indeed, strategic due diligence is increasingly being demanded by boards of directors who want to be certain that a merger is the right choice.
What exactly is strategic due diligence? Whereas financial and legal due diligence ascertain the potential value of a deal and concern buying the company “at the right price,” strategic due diligence explores whether that potential — however enticing — is realistic. It tests the strategic rationale behind a proposed transaction with two broad questions. Is the deal commercially attractive? And are we capable of realizing the targeted value? The first question requires external inquiry; the second demands an internal focus. Each question partially informs the other, reinforcing an inquiry that thoroughly plumbs the wisdom of the deal.
Above all, strategic due diligence ensures that no two transactions are treated the same way; each deal has its own value drivers, and thus the composition of each due diligence team must change. Executives should determine which areas of the organization will produce value in the merger, and draw members of the due diligence team from those areas. (See “Building the Diligence Team,” below.) Strategic due diligence counterbalances the danger of institutionalizing and replicating a diligence capability ill-suited for the task at hand. Although some standard due diligence best practices can be adopted wholesale into strategic due diligence (see Exhibit 1), companies must tailor their process to the issues and potential integration challenges of each specific deal.

Strategic due diligence thus adds an important deal-screening filter. After all, executives must be convinced not only that the potential deal value justifies the significant investment being made, but also that the business is truly capable of realizing this value. Indeed, a sober strategic due diligence evaluation should help set the purchase price. The buyer should demand a price that is commensurate with the level of integration risk uncovered and be willing to walk away if that price isn’t met.
Two Big Questions
The first question, testing the commercial attractiveness of a deal, involves validating both the target’s financial projections and any identified synergies using an external lens. Companies can achieve this by assessing overall market attractiveness and the competitive position of the target, and how these might change over time.
Whether the buyer is out-of-market (e.g., a financial buyer) or in-market (e.g., a competitor), this analysis is indispensable. However, for an in-market buyer, the commercial attractiveness issue may be more complex. The due diligence team involved in an in-market deal must gaze into the future and calculate the competitive position of the combined entity, including its impact on customers, competitors, and overall market dynamics. (Will the merger invite new entrants, for instance?) After all, customers and competitors will react to the merger in ways that will benefit them — ways that might threaten the combined businesses’ value-creation assumptions.
As for the second question, a company must make a hard internal examination of whether the targeted value of the deal can be realized by the management team of the combined enterprise, and, if so, whether the projected time frame is realistic. For an in-market merger, it is vital that all the associated risks, in terms of customer and competitive responses, technology issues, and culture challenges, be weighed. When they have been weighed, the salient question becomes, Can these potential risks be managed? If preserving increased market share is a key driver of value, for instance, leaders had better be sure that the executives of the new company know their customers’ needs, can meet them, and can fend off competitors who will surely try to pick off customers and clients during this period of uncertainty.
Although testing whether a company has the capabilities to realize projected synergies is particularly important when it involves an in-market merger, out-of-market purchasers are well served by a similar internal analysis that helps them understand the key drivers of value in the target company (people, technology, specific customers) and what the key management requirements will be in the new organization.
The Deal’s Rationale
To focus strategic due diligence, it’s necessary to pinpoint the value-creation opportunities of each transaction. To assist in this process, we have identified two dimensions that influence the strategic rationale and underlying value-creation focus of a deal. These two drivers are shown in Exhibit 2. On one axis, the degree of integration between acquirer and target drives the size and number of potential synergies. On the other, the relative sizes of the acquirer and target influence whether “best of breed” solutions from either company will be adopted, or whether the target will simply be absorbed into the acquirer’s business model.
Mergers that are intended to strengthen current market position or that seek new growth opportunities by either entering a new market or developing new capabilities all have their own unique “degree of overlap” and “relative size,” but we have found they fall into one of four categories when we perform this analysis. We have named the categories in-market consolidation, in-market absorption, out-of-market transformation, and out-of-market “bolt-on.” Our four categories are broad, but we believe they are useful groupings that can serve as starting points for shaping any strategic due diligence effort.
Let’s take these four M&A categories one by one, recognizing that strategic due diligence always aims to validate the assumptions underpinning the strategic rationale.
The rationale for an out-of-market transformation (large target, low integration) is typically to transform a business by pursuing significant growth and broader capabilities in a new, attractive market. These are often “bet the farm” deals in which a company either extends the reach of its existing products or services into a new geographic market (such as with telephone and cable mergers), or diversifies into a new set of products and services (such as with a private equity group or conglomerate).
In this case, the strategic due diligence process should focus on testing the new market’s attractiveness, assessing the target’s competitive position, identifying critical capabilities and resources that need to be retained, judging potential market responses, and evaluating whether there are best-of-breed management practices or operating models that should be adopted across the organization. Also, those performing strategic due diligence must understand the complexities of governance where there is minimal formal integration; the systems and policies used to run the still distinct businesses should be uniform, and “legacy” people from both former companies should be dealt with consistently. Two distinctive cultures mean that cultural issues will manifest themselves in myriad ways and need to be well understood.
Experienced due diligence and integration managers must be involved in these mergers, and there must be high-profile, executive-level participation from both sides, especially when it is clear that the capture of “best of breed” outcomes requires culture change. A strong analytical team must drive the market and competitive assessment, and the human resources team needs to focus on organizational and cultural issues. If there are areas of consolidation, functional representation is critical to ensure buy-in from management.
The strategic rationale for an in-market consolidation (large target, high integration) is to create a market leader that can realize benefits by improving pricing and marketing, rationalizing operations, and leveraging assets, such as technology and skills. The acquiring company may want to increase market penetration with its products and services, and capture scale benefits within its operations. Most current mergers in the automotive and utility industries fall into this category.
For such a merger, strategic due diligence should focus on assessing potential customer value, including revenue upside and risks; validating synergies and identifying challenges when consolidating areas such as administration, operating infrastructure, and work force; determining which processes and assets are best of breed; and assessing cultural fit and integration risks, such as loss of key people in nonconsolidated areas.
This strategic due diligence team should have strong cross-functional representation from both companies involving managers who will also lead the actual integration. Human resources support is needed to manage the organizational challenges, as is analytical support from corporate headquarters. Ideally, experienced due diligence and integration managers should be involved.
The strategic rationale behind an out-of-market “bolt-on” (small target, low integration) is to create a new platform for growth through a relatively small acquisition. This expansion could be into a new geography — which is common among regional hospitals in the U.S. and mobile telephony — or into entirely new product or service offerings, such as a vertical integration play when a company seeks to broaden its capabilities and leverage its scale.
When geographic diversification is a factor, the rationale for the merger may involve taking advantage of deregulation, “rolling up” small players in a fragmented industry into a more coherent regional or multinational player, or expanding the scope of the business. Most likely, little consolidation will be needed beyond eliminating redundant functions such as corporate staff, information technology, and human resources. Strategic due diligence should include a focus on identifying opportunities to leverage best practices, product development, and infrastructure across the group. Even though these “bolt-ons” may operate fairly independently in the new organization, the purchaser should ask itself about its own “parenting abilities.” What resources can the company use to accelerate growth while preserving the core of what it’s acquiring?
Besides this parenting question, strategic due diligence for an industry buyer should focus on testing the new market’s attractiveness, determining the target’s competitive position, identifying what critical capabilities to retain, and addressing any cultural issues. This due diligence group should include a strong analytical team to drive market and competitive assessment, an HR team to focus on organizational and cross-border cultural issues, and functional representation in areas of coordination.
Likewise, when the out-of-market “bolt-on” involves a financial buyer or conglomerate, the same emphasis should be placed on testing the new market’s attractiveness, ascertaining the target’s competitive position, and retaining key personnel. Cultural differences are unlikely to need addressing beyond creating policy consistency and ensuring the interests of both sides are aligned.
The strategic rationale for an in-market absorption (small target, high integration) is that, by acquiring a competitor in the same market, the buyer can capture operational synergies through leveraging its existing asset base. Markets that often see in-market absorptions are U.S. retail banking, second- and third-tier auto suppliers, and technology acquisitions by the likes of IBM and Cisco Systems.
The buyer is likely to be focused on eliminating excess capacity by closing plants, merging sales, reducing overhead, improving market pricing, boosting utilization rates to increase the return on assets, and absorbing the acquired business as efficiently as possible. Therefore, the strategic due diligence focus should be on validating these assumptions, pursuing ways to accelerate synergies, and assessing potential customer and competitor responses that may impact market upside and risk.
In this case, the due diligence team should be drawn principally from the acquirer to ensure ownership of integration goals. The team should be cross-functional with a strong operational focus. Involvement of senior (or chief) human resources and information technology executives is often critical in managing work-force reduction and system integration.
Realizing Full Potential
Strategic due diligence requires an up-front investment of money as well as the time of some of a company’s most capable managers — even before the deal is certain. Indeed, the team should be carefully structured to guarantee the right skill set and influence; and it should be established early enough to kill the transaction if it determines that the strategic rationale and hoped-for synergies simply are not attainable. But the advantages of strategic due diligence go well beyond the ability to stop an ill-conceived deal. If the deal moves forward, the full benefits of strategic due diligence will manifest themselves.
First, strategic due diligence can help set the value and purchase price of the deal. Second, it can help articulate and buttress the strategic rationale for the deal, instilling greater confidence among stakeholders that the company’s claims about projected benefits are reasonable and attainable. Finally, strategic due diligence provides a strong platform for the actual integration.
All these benefits depend, however, on management’s ability to approach each deal as new. The power of strategic due diligence is its focus on the specifics of the deal. We are not saying companies must reinvent the whole wheel for every deal, but they must not reuse too many old spokes. Strategic due diligence acknowledges the unique nature of every deal and offers a path to realizing each transaction’s full potential.
Building the Diligence Team
The value of strategic due diligence relies heavily on the quality of the team in charge of the process. Building a strong team is important both to ensure proper assessment of the deal and to facilitate the actual integration.
We have identified eight best practices for organizing a due diligence team:
  1. Choose the right people who have time to lead the project and serve as team members. Time constraints and confidentiality will make it difficult to replace these people later in the process. Dedicate specific team resources for the due diligence period.
  2. Diligence will naturally focus on certain functional areas.Human resources, information technology, finance, operations, and even R&D and marketing may all be involved. Be sure to draw team members from all of these areas of the organization. This adds valuable expertise, and it helps the team attain the buy-in from line management that can be hard to get if a key functional area is shut out of the integration process.
  3. Ensure that the diligence team is co-located within a secure environment, such as a corporate headquarters. Sometimes it makes more sense to locate the team near the target.
  4. Communicate to the due diligence team the strategic and financial rationale behind the acquisition. They should understand enough detail to be able to identify critical diligence issues.
  5. Train the team to identify and home in on specific issues, including the analysis and data required. This ongoing checklist keeps the diligence on track and brings it to a conclusion. It thus helps to avoid the “analysis paralysis” that can result from an undirected data search.
  6. Develop and communicate rules of engagement between the diligence team and the target company. This avoids cultural conflicts and ensures that the team acts in a manner that reflects the acquirer’s intentions.
  7. Make available analytical tools and techniques so the team can rapidly get its arms around potential synergies and integration challenges. This helps the team complete its task within the allotted time and budget.
  8. There must be a healthy flow of information from the due diligence team to the integration team. Therefore, include diligence team members in the integration planning team to ensure that diligence rationale and data analysis are properly leveraged.
Although many of these best practices apply in all merger cases, there are some differences in focus depending on the nature of the merger. For example, in an out-of-market transformation, it’s important that the team include those with human resources skills who can identify and retain the personnel who will drive value, as well as commercial people who can analyze product and customer profitability in these new markets. For an in-market absorption, on the other hand, human resources skills are critical to planning and coping with the impact of head-count reductions. But the diligence team must also include commercial, operational, and administrative people who can assess the potential value and timing of synergies after the merger.

Three Common Themes of Failure
Strategic due diligence is a challenging task, to put it mildly, and there are any number of ways to veer off course if careful attention is not paid to the work. However, we have identified three “themes of failure” that most often derail due diligence.
1. Failure to Focus on Key Issues
  • Fools Rush In: Time will be tight, but don’t rush through the necessary step of clarifying the rationale for the deal and sources of expected value. This step determines which hypotheses need to be tested and avoids wasting time gathering irrelevant data.
  • Reinventing the Wheel: Don’t be so distracted by the process that the analysis suffers. When possible, use a common diligence methodology, standardized formats, and simple project management software to manage and share relevant diligence data. This will save time, keep the process focused, and thus permit a higher level of analysis.
  • Reluctance to Share: When diligence information is not shared adequately among all diligence teams, it’s impossible to focus effectively on the larger issues at hand. A clear flow of data through the use of regular (as frequent as daily) updates can quickly identify “deal killers”; it can also help the team allocate resources more effectively, and it will lead to a richer and more nuanced view of the diligence issues.
  • Analysis Paralysis: Inevitably, some issues will remain in doubt, but the team must be rigorous about defining an end point for the analysis. Part of being focused is knowing when to check something off the list, when to report it to management, and when to move on.
2. Failure to Identify New Opportunities and Risks
  • The Unquestioned Assumption: Although time constraints prevent any major recasting of a company’s strategy, a quick stress test of management’s key assumptions about its business may show opportunities for growth or a strategic refocus that may create significant value.
  • Being Afraid to Rock the Boat: Even when a deal seems imminent, it is not too late to probe deeply into its merits. Ask the target company’s management both broad and specific questions to gain a deeper understanding of value drivers and key risks. Also, identify and interview customers and the competition. This is all part of reaching sound conclusions on possible trends (such as the emergence of a substitute product or service) and risks (such as the market entry of a new competitor).
  • “It’s Just an Audit”: Due diligence is more than an audit. By validating the assumptions that underpin the business plan and detecting risks or inconsistencies early, diligence aids management’s long-term stewardship of the company.
3. Failure to Allocate Adequate Resources
  • Choosing the Wrong People: The best people for the due diligence team are probably also the company’s most valuable managers. Find a way to put them on the job rather than choosing people who happen to have time available. Also, make sure to choose people with the right expertise; don’t overlook managers from the functional areas of the firm that will be affected by the deal.
  • Insufficient Time: The due diligence process will be a time-crunch affair, but don’t make the problem worse than it is. Give the team as much time as possible, and don’t be trapped by artificial or arbitrary deadlines.
  • Insufficient Resources: Support the due diligence teams with the resources of the firm. This includes space to work, equipment, software, staff, and access to the right data and people. And, as much as possible, relieve them of their daily responsibilities so they can focus on the task at hand.
Author Profiles:

Gerald Adolph (adolph_gerald@bah.com) is a senior vice president with Booz Allen Hamilton in New York. His work focuses on corporate and business unit strategy, as well as merger and acquisition issues. Click here for additional information on mergers and restructurings from Booz Allen Hamilton.

Simon Gillies (gillies_simon@bah.com) is a vice president of Booz Allen Hamilton based in Melbourne, Australia. He focuses on assisting Asia Pacific–based clients in corporate strategy development and implementation including mergers and acquisitions.

Joerg Krings (krings_joerg@bah.com) is a vice president with Booz Allen Hamilton and managing partner of the Munich office. He focuses on turnarounds and profit-improvement programs for automotive OEMs, suppliers, and industrial clients.

Как быстро и точно провести анализ финансово-экономической деятельности компании





финансовый директор ООО «Арлифт»
После того, как финансовый директор взял под контроль финансовые потоки компании, провел систематизацию краткосрочных обязательств и осуществил мероприятия по привлечению финансирования, самое время детально проанализировать деятельность компании в предыдущих периодах. Это позволит сформировать среднесрочную повестку дня и определиться с тем, какими делами надо заняться в первую очередь, а что можно отложить.






Все компании отличаются друг от друга, поэтому схема работы и приоритеты финансового директора также будут разными в зависимости от того, в какой организации он работает. Чтобы финансовый директор был максимально эффективен и в первую очередь занимался теми вопросами, которые действительно являются ключевыми для компании, необходимо провести финансовый анализ её деятельности. Этот процесс (его можно назвать операционным due diligence) в чем-то схож со стандартной процедурой due diligence, которая проводится при покупке бизнеса, но есть и существенные различия. Главным отличием операционного due diligence является то, что он проводится не с целью определения стоимости компании, а с тем, чтобы выявить наиболее слабые места в её финансовой политике и определить приоритеты деятельности финансового директора на ближайшую (1-2 года) перспективу.

В состав операционного due diligence входят следующие этапы:

  1. Анализ денежных потоков
  2. Анализ продаж и маржинального дохода
  3. Анализ дебиторской и кредиторской задолженности
  4. Анализ накладных расходов
  5. Анализ товарных потоков
  6. Анализ кредитных и заёмных средств
Кратко рассмотрим цель каждого этапа.
Анализ денежных потоков. Этот этап является ключевым, так как денежные потоки, будучи зримым отражением практически всех хозяйственных операций компании, могут очень многое рассказать о выручке, затратах, инвестициях компании, привлечении кредитных ресурсов и т.д. На основе анализа денежных потоков финансовый директор должен выяснить следующие моменты:
  • Какие юрлица входят в структуру компании, и как организовано движение денежных средств между ними;
  • Какова ситуация с ликвидностью в компании: есть ли у компании подушка безопасности на счетах или все остатки постоянно сливаются в ноль;
  • Использует ли компания кредитные ресурсы (овердрафты, кредитные линии и т.д.), если да — как часто и на какие цели;
  • Испытывает ли компания колебания выручки в течение года (сезонность) и в течение каждого календарного месяца, если да — насколько сильны эти колебания и как компания с ними справляется;
  • Какова структура платежей компании, насколько она стабильна в течение длительного (до 1 года) периода времени.
Анализ продаж и маржинального дохода. Этот этап призван ответить на следующие вопросы:
  • Какова структура продаж компании — доля каждой группы товаров/услуг в общем объёме продаж, как эта структура изменилась за последние 6-12 месяцев;
  • Какова маржинальность каждой товарной группы, как она меняется с течением времени;
  • Как распределена выручка между различными сбытовыми подразделениями (филиалами) компании;
  • Какова ценовая политика компании, отличаются ли цены реализации различным категориям клиентов, практикуются ли скидки, ретро-бонусы и т.п.
Анализ дебиторской и кредиторской задолженности производится с целью выяснения следующих моментов:
  • На каких условиях компания закупает и продает товары и услуги;
  • Как реально исполняются договорные обязательства компании и ее контрагентов (с точки зрения соблюдения сроков оплаты);
  • Какова оборачиваемость дебиторки и кредиторки, кто кого реально финансирует — компания контрагентов или контрагенты компанию. Почему сложилась такая ситуация;
  • Есть ли у компании проблемная дебиторская задолженность, как она возникла, какие меры принимает компания по её взысканию.
Анализ накладных расходов важен с точки зрения:
  • Понимания финансовой устойчивости компании при снижении продаж;
  • Выявления структуры и динамики расходов;
  • Анализа эффективности осуществляемых расходов и возможностей по их снижению;
  • Анализа текущей налоговой политики компании, неиспользованных возможностей по снижению налогового бремени.
Анализ товарных потоков особенно актуален для торговых компаний, у которых значительная часть оборотного капитала инвестирована в товарные остатки. В связи с этим необходимо обратить внимание на следующие моменты:
  • Какова величина и структура товарных остатков;
  • Какова оборачиваемость склада в целом и по отдельным товарным группам в частности;
  • Есть ли на складе неликвидные товарные позиции, какие меры принимаются по их реализации;
  • За счёт чего финансируется склад: кредиторской задолженности поставщиков, кредитов банков, собственного капитала компании.
Анализ кредитных и заёмных средств позволяет выяснить:
  • Из каких источников компания черпает внешние ресурсы, какие продукты использует (банковские кредитные линии, овердрафты, лизинг, факторинг, целевое финансирование и т.д.);
  • Какова стоимость и сроки погашения кредитов и займов;
  • Какое обеспечение компания предоставляет под привлеченные кредиты, если ли обеспечение, пока не заложенное в банках, которое можно использовать для получения новых кредитов;
  • На какие цели и насколько эффективно были направлены кредитные ресурсы;
  • Соответствует ли стоимость кредитных ресурсов рентабельности компании;
  • Есть ли возможности по эффективной реструктуризации кредитного портфеля компании.
По итогам финансового due diligence финансовый директор должен определиться с перечнем срочных мероприятий, необходимых для повышения эффективности финансово-хозяйственной деятельности. Это может быть:
  • Внедрение жёсткой системы бюджетирования;
  • Усиление контроля за расходами;
  • Внедрение более адекватной ценовой, кредитной политики;
  • Реструктуризация кредитного портфеля;
  • Реструктуризация всей компании и т.д.
Таким образом, финансовый due diligence — это важнейший этап процесса адаптации финансового директора в новой компании, после осуществления которого CFO определяет ключевые проблемные точки в деятельности организации и приступает к их устранению.


Read more: http://fd.ru/blogs/221-kak-bystro-i-tochno-provesti-analiz-finansovo-ekonomicheskoy-deyatelnosti-kompanii#ixzz3Q9EmOEHh

Original tool kit for operational due diligence process

It may look familiar but it's different

To deliver a measurable result requires an accurate assessment for the current situation. The process of company META MANAGEMENT includes an outstanding assessment phase, that with slight modification, becomes a world class operational due diligence process and a technology effectiveness audit.

Operational due diligence process and a technology effectiveness audit


Assessment of workforce

Implementing improvements identified during the assessment phase requires a strategic, technical and tactical understanding of the opportunities, the issues, the culture and the individual behaviours of the workforce. Company META MANAGEMENT has developed our "Front End Focus Process" to do just that and the results are impressive. The ensuing implementation phase features exacting and rigorous project management, making the process predictable, effective and sustainable. Our tool kit, containing leading edge skills such as Lean and 6 Sigma, becomes more powerful when embedded in our process.






Implementation "Our Focus Process"

Further commitment of META MANAGEMENT to deliver sustainable change is our one-year after care programme ensuring that the efforts and investment of the project are fully sustained.


Results - the things that count

Every client situation is different and our process helps to identify the opportunities for improvement as well as the magnitude - and it is often the magnitude of opportunity that causes surprise. Below are some improvement figures from actual projects.



http://www.metamgtserv.com/

воскресенье, 25 января 2015 г.

4 steps to aligning your goals with your actions



In our previous article we offered you some advice that can help us to keep our motivation on a high level, which is, in a nutshell:
  • Prioritization of our goals and deciding which objectives will bring us the greatest value,
  • Keeping our tasks small and constantly tracking our progress,
  • Small but persistent changes will bring us, significant, long-term results,
  • Always ask ourselves why we want to achieve this goal, what the purpose is and what result we expect after accomplishing this particular goal.
And last but not least, when we have achieved our goal we can not forget about celebrating, which will help us to pause and really reflect on what we’ve used our time and energy for. This embracing of our success can act as a wonderful incentive to keep moving on with our important work.
Today, we would like to share our four-step process with you that utilizes the hints described above, and is based on efficient techniques that we will introduce and explain along with their psychological aspects.

Discover your long-term priorities with SWOT

In the first step we will encourage you to conduct a SWOT analysis that will concentrate around finding out what your current situation is and what your opportunities and threats are. Furthermore,  you will learn how your current assets and weaknesses are connected with your opportunities and threats.
Of course you may want to take a shortcut and skip this step by moving immediately to the process of listing your goals, but we do not recommend this approach.
As an outcome of this analysis, you will received invaluable insights for creating a long-term action plan, and you will have the possibility to:
  • sum up where you are at the moment as a team, company, or person in your developmental process,
  • plan your directions and specify where you would  like to be in the future.
We have already described this step in detail. You can find this article here.

Write down your goals

One thing that a lot of very successful self improvement writers such as Brian Tracy, Zig Ziglar, Anthony Robbins emphasize is the importance of writing down goals. A goal that is written down can bring you clarity and focus. It can give you direction and a declaration of where you are headed.
Evidence of the efficacy of written goals lies in a study conducted during 1979 Harvard MBA program, where graduate students were asked “have you set clear, written goals for your future and made plans to accomplish them?”  The results: only 3% had written goals and plans, 13% had goals but they weren’t in writing, and 84% had no goals at all. Ten years later, the same group was interviewed again and the result was absolutely mind-blowing.
The 13% of the class who had goals, but did not write them down was earning twice the amount of the 84% who had no goals. The 3% who had written their goals down, were earning, on average, ten times as much as the remaining 97% of the class combined!
So, as was proved in the research, the very act of writing down your goals vastly increases your possibility of success. This is an activity that we would encourage you to not pass up; after all who wouldn’t like to be in the top 3%.


In addition to the previously mentioned benefits, the process of writing down your goals also frees up your memory to be occupy with more important things, and allows you to be less stressed and more concentrated on crucial activities.
Our memories, in many cases, are also not very reliable. Every time we remember something we recreate what happened, rather than just replaying a film from our mental archives. During the process of recreation, we tend to leave out some details and change those that are uncomfortable for us. So, our memory can be like a leaking bucket.
So, take your time, and list everything that you have always wanted to accomplish or have always dreamed about.

You can look for inspiration in the results of your SWOT analysis that contains the overview of your current situation and suggestions for future actions.
Your goals can be short-term as well as long-term. Remember, the sky is the limit.

Prioritize: Important vs. Urgent

Research indicates that white collar workers spend a great deal of their time—an average of 41%—on unimportant activities. So, why do they keep engaging in them? Because ridding oneself of unnecessary work is easier said than done. We instinctively stick to tasks that make us feel busy and that seem to be urgent.
It’s just human nature to give more weight to things that are right in front of our noses, so weneed to use our willpower to make up the difference between the strength of our immediate desires and the importance of our long-term goals.
We can efficiently address this problem in our day-to-day work by method that was used by U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower, and is outlined in a quote attributed to him:
What is important is seldom urgent and what is urgent is seldom important.
At first, we take one particular goal, and then answer the questions: “is this important” “is this useful?” “will I (or we as a team) be satisfied with how I (we) have used my (our) time and energy?.
At this stage, we need to distinguish important issues from urgent ones that seem to be important, but actually are traps set by our mind that add additional priorities to activities that require as to put out fires, but produce little value at the end.


Task: Important vs. Urgent
So, our goal is to move the most urgent tasks to the long-term goals section, and put off all unimportant issues and come back to them if you have some spare time.
By focusing our efforts on working on fewer but more important items at the same time, we will get more done. Lots more, actually. And we will feel less stressed.
Try out this approach for yourself, and now move the most important objectives from left to right and categorize them from the perspective of time.
At the end of the day, when you will have accomplished one small but important objective, you will actually feel more fulfilled than after accomplishing several less important ones.

Add your purpose and the definition of  “done”

The more compelling that you can make your long-term desire, the less willpower you will need to close the gap between planning and acting.
In order to do this, we keep before our eyes only those goals that we are currently working on. We also need to constantly remind ourselves “why” we want to achieve this goal, and what reward or improvement stands behind this particular goal. And, as we proved in our previous article, knowing “why” is a highly efficient motivator.
Furthermore, we also ponder and describe how we will recognize when the goal has been accomplished. The vision that we will have of ourselves after achieving these goals will give us additional strength to pursue further goals.
So, we encourage you to write down the purposes for and the reasons why you consider these particular goals to be the most important, how you will recognize that you have accomplished them and keep reminding  yourself of these important points as many times as you can.


Plan and Act:
Visualizing your work and workflow carries with it many benefits, beginning with how our brains process information. The human brain can input visual information 60,000 times faster than written information. Since Kanban boards create a “picture” of your work, a visual display can make it quicker and easier for you to understand status and progress.

Kanban board can also place limits on your work In progress, and show you how fast your progress is. No matter how small it will be, it can motivate you to keep pushing forward, and to keep challenging yourself, day after day.
With this in mind, start your process of planning:
  1. Write down all tasks that may bring you closer to accomplishing your goal. One task can address a couple of your goals. All added tasks will be automatically placed in the “To do” section.
  2. Then, choose the tasks which will bring you the greatest value and move them to the “In progress” section.
  3. Focus your efforts on working on fewer items at the same time - you will get more done.
  4. All completed items are moved to the “Done” column.
At the end of the process set a due date for your goal, which will specify a timeframe for your actions.
Research suggests that the average person who is given two weeks to complete a task will instinctively adjust his effort so it actually takes exactly two weeks.
On the other hand, we are familiar with the Zeigarnik Effect, according to which it seems to be human nature to finish what we start and, if it is not finished, we experience disappointing. As an example we can recall a study in which participants received  “brain buster” puzzles to complete, but not enough time to complete them. The surprising thing was, even whenparticipants were asked to stop, over 90% of them went on to complete the puzzles anyway.
Due to the above mentioned facts, as a general rule we should keep our due dates close and avoid postponing them. We have addressed this issue by putting more effort on decreasing the size of our goals and task. We can chart our progress, and see that we will indeed finish, and, as mentioned before small but persistent change will bring us big results in long-term.

Summary:
Rome wasn’t built in a day; likewise, successful people don’t always know the right answer, but they keep moving anyway. Taking action will lead to answers, so don’t let obstacles stall you when you’re searching for the right solution.

You definitely are ready to spread your wings and take action right away. You can do this with your new plan.


CayenneApps – List of Goals - achieve your goal
In our next article we will focus on finding ways to make use of this special time of the year, and share with you our thoughts about New Year’s Resolutions. Stay tuned!
http://blog.cayenneapps.com/2014/12/23/4-steps-to-aligning-your-goals-with-your-actions/

16 Startup Trends That Will Be Huge in 2015

16 Startup Trends That Will Be Huge in 2015
Image credit: Microsoft | YouTube
Venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz has invested in some of today's most talked-about startups, including Slack, Buzzfeed, and Instacart.
Andreessen Horowitz has its finger on the pulse of what's happening in tech. Over on the firm's website, its investors have shared 16 trends and themes they're excited about this year. It's a sort of State of the Union for what's happening in tech.
We've compiled Andreessen Horowitz's predictions for the 16 startup themes that will be big this year. 

1. Virtual reality

"Computer enthusiasts and science fiction writers have dreamed about VR for decades. But earlier attempts to develop it, especially in the 1990s, were disappointing. It turns out the technology wasn’t ready yet. What’s happening now — because of Moore’s Law, and also the rapid improvement of processors, screens, and accelerometers, driven by the smartphone boom — is that VR is finally ready to go mainstream," Chris Dixon, a general partner at Andreessen Horowitz, says
We've already started to see the emergence of virtual reality: people are still excited and curious about Oculus, which Facebook announced it was acquiring last MarchMicrosoft and Apple are also reportedly exploring virtual reality too.

2. Improving enterprise software design

Andreessen Horowitz partner Scott Weiss says this is the year for enterprise to play catch-up. Enterprise companies need to get up to speed with consumer-facing startups, which have already created beautiful, functional interfaces, especially on mobile.
"Enterprise UI is woefully behind," he says. "All those well-understood motions that have taken hold from our everyday smartphone behaviors — pinch, zoom, swipe, tap, speak, even just moving stuff around with our fingers — have yet to take hold in the enterprise. The user interface has always been an afterthought, the last thing one did after building a database. That is changing now."

3. Machine learning and big data

Andreessen Horowitz's Peter Levine says we're going to continue to see big data as a trend this year.
"Where business intelligence before was about past aggregates ('How many red shoes have we sold in Kentucky?'), it will now demand predictive insights ('How many red shoes will we sell in Kentucky?')," he says. "An important implication of this is that machine learning will not be an activity in and of itself … it will be a property of every application. There won’t be a standalone function, 'Hey, let’s use that tool to predict.'"

4. The full-stack startup

Chris Dixon thinks you should put your money behind "full-stack startups" — companies that "build a complete, end-to-end product or service that bypasses incumbents and other competitors," he says. He uses Apple as an example of a full-stack company — it makes its own chips, apps, and retail stores.
Dixon thinks Lyft and Uber are full-stack startups. "Companies like Lyft and Uber said: 'You know what? Instead of trying to sell software as an add-on, we’re going just going build the whole service using our modern software.' They asked: What would this industry look like if it were rebuilt from scratch using technology we have today?"

5. Containers

Computing has become more efficient since it first started, but Peter Levine says containers will be huge in 2015.
"Containers aren’t actually a new thing. They’ve been around for a long time, but are taking off for a few reasons," he says. "One reason is because Windows has become less prevalent in the datacenter; one of the downsides of containers compared to VMs is that they can’t run multiple operating systems, like Windows on top of Linux. Another reason is 'microservices' app architecture driving enthusiasm for containers; these app architectures are especially suited to containers because they have discrete pieces of functionality that can scale independently, like LEGO building blocks."

6. Digital health

A lot of medicine that's being practiced today — a lot of the devices doctors use — is being designed by people without medical degrees. Andreessen Horowitz's Balaji Srinivasan says the trend of mobile and digital health will continue to increase this year.
"One center of action is likely going to be the mobile programmable medical record — the container for all diagnostics and test results — something like what Apple’s HealthKit may evolve into," he says. "All this diagnostic history isn’t necessarily 'big data'; it’s just never been tracked and cross-correlated before in one place. Once technologies like HealthKit get a little more traction, millions of software engineers without MDs can build new applications on top of that data store (perhaps collected by other applications) without injuring the phone owner."

7. Online marketplaces

Online marketplaces like eBay and Craigslist have been super successful. But Jeff Jordan, a partner at Andreessen Horowitz, says the next trends to watch with e-commerce and marketplace spaces include businesses that are built by fleshing out niche services you'd find on Craigslist, like ridesharing or sublets; "mobile-first" marketplaces; "people marketplaces," where you can find niche services like Instacart or Glamsquad; and marketplaces for new segments, like B2B.

8. Security

2014 was not a great year for password security. Between the Sony leaks, the large-scale iCloud photo hack that resulted in private, naked pictures of celebrities leaking online, and security breaches at companies like Target and Home Depot, it seemed everyone was vulnerable to having their privacy breached.
So it comes as no surprise that one trend Scott Weiss is predicting will be big in 2015 is security. Companies that can identify when and where data breaches occur and then lock everything down and do damage control will be invaluable. 

9. Bitcoin (and blockchain)

Even though the price of bitcoin has been dropping, Balaji Srinivasan says there are three things to consider in regards to the cryptocurrency this year. First, he says, bitcoin is still really new — so we should except adoption to increase significantly in 2015. Srinivasan also says we can expect new payment applications to develop for bitcoin, and that we should consider bitcoin as infrastructure.

10. Cloud-client computing

Peter Levine says there's a lot of potential with computing today to make your devices work more efficiently.
"We have more processing power in our hands today through smartphones than we did in large computers decades ago. So why shouldn’t some of this processing move out of the cloud and back into the endpoint, into the phone?," he says. "Doing processing locally has its advantages. For instance, the cost of an endpoint CPU and memory is a 1000x cheaper than the cost of CPU and memory in the server. And in many places around the world, connectivity and transmission costs are sometimes far more expensive than the device."

11. Crowdfunding

When we think of crowdfunding now, we think about sitting at our computers and occasionally donating to someone's potato salad project or a movie campaign on Kickstarter. Jeff Jordan says this will change. "With smartphones in our pockets, we not only have access to crowdfunding platforms whenever we want, but to the crowd that comprises the various social circles of our lives — from family to school, work, and the region we live in," he says.

12. Internet of Things

Scott Weiss says the solution to our society's culture of planned obsolescence — where you constantly have to replace old or broken devices because they're not built to last forever — is the Internet of Things. "We tend to focus on the glorified outcomes [of IoT] but the mundane ones are equally if not more powerful," he says.
"The IoT could change things here, and create a new culture of repair. If you’re a small family-owned restaurant that can’t afford to constantly upgrade equipment or fix things, you can answer a whole new set of questions with the IoT: Is that freezer working extra hard because someone left the door open, or because its compressor is about to fail and you’re about to lose $6,000 in food?"

13. Online video

YouTube has been around for a decade, but Jeff Jordan says online video is still just ramping up now. He predicts YouTube will be carved out by entrepreneurs and companies for their own purposes. Besides new ways of monetizing video, Jordan says new forms of video advertising will emerge, and YouTube will start taking better care of its stars. Jordan also says other players could get in on the online video game too — it doesn't have to be all about YouTube.

14. Insurance

Software and data have improved, Andreessen Horowitz's Frank Chen says, so shouldn't the way we purchase our insurance also change? "Software will rewrite the entire way we buy and experience our insurance products — medical, home, auto, and life," he says, in three major ways: "By changing the way insurance companies price risk; by empowering an ongoing relationship between an insurer and insured; and by changing the way insurance companies pool capital." 

15. DevOps

DevOps — a portmanteau of the words "developer" and "operations — is a skill-set that any modern programmer should have, Scott Weiss says. He says there's a lot of opportunity for DevOps to grow this year.
"The rise of the hyperscale cloud datacenter has now made this job much harder as developers have had to hack together tools and complex scripts for pushing code to thousands of pancake servers," he says. "This complex cloud infrastructure — coupled with the growth of the DevOps movement today — has opened up many opportunities, starting with helping developers and companies to manage the entire process … to much more."

16. 'Failure'

"'The goal is not to fail fast. The goal is to succeed over the long run. They are not the same thing.'…Enough said," the VC firm says on its website, paraphrasing a tweet by known tweetstormer and Andreessen Horowitz co-founder Marc Andreessen: "My goal is not to fail fast. My goal is to succeed over the long run. They are not the same thing."
Disclosure: Marc Andreessen, co-founder of Andreessen Horowitz, is an investor in Business Insider.